Several weeks ago Joshua Pearce at Clarion University in Pennsylvania released a study titled “ Thermodynamic limitations to nuclear energy deployment as a greenhouse gas mitigation technology .” In the study he stated... nuclear energy production would have to increase by 10.5% per year from 2010 to 2050 to both replace fossil-fuel-energy use and meet the future energy demands. This line, of course, made the headlines and has been picked up by several outlets and blogs . When looking into his calculations for this statement, he made one assumption error that overstated the above sentence by nearly a factor of three. Page 121, Section 4.1 of the study states: Richard Smalley pointed out that in 2004, the global economy consumed the equivalent of 220 million barrels of oil per day, which converted into electricity terms is the equivalent of 14.5 TeraWatts (TW), or 14,500,000 MegaWatts (MW) (2005). … With a nuclear plant having about 1000 MW (1 GW) of capacity, we would need 14,500...
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How many 3,000 MW plants does she expect to be built? And why is her number reposted here without correction or comment?
AP1000-1150, ABWR-1350, ESBWR-1550, EPR-1650, APWR-1700. The average capacity of these five plants is about 1500 MWe.
A two unit site is the standard for nuclear power plants, although there are certainly many one unit sites. In my home state alone (Texas) I know of four prospective sites for new plants, all of which would host two units (Amarillo, Comanche Peak, South Texas, Victoria).
I don't think her estimate is unreasonable, especially given the context and uncertainty in the NEI figure.
141 (One Meg Plants) for 850 Billion Dollars.
That would create approx. 705,000 Jobs (200 Jobs per KW) or about 5,000 Jobs during “Peak Construction” per every One Megawatt Plant.
It takes anywhere from 6 - 10 Years to fully Construct and bring Online a Nuke Plant.
It would be highly unlikely you could strategically plan out or organize the start of construction of these new 141 Plants all at the same time...realistically, it will take many years of planning to build all 141...
Which means...our Country falls deeper into dependence of “Foreign Oil” interests every year of delay that we put off the inevitable, of building much needed Power Plants that reduce our dependence on “Foreign Oil”...Nukes DO NOT reduce our dependence on “Foreign Oil” because of that which I’ve already earlier stated above...as well as...
To produce a Nuclear Fuel Rod requires Twenty (20) Steps in order to make the rod “Hot” or ready to use for “Fuel”...Eighteen (18) of those (20) steps use or consume OIL & COAL in the MINING, PRODUCTION & “ENRICHEMENT” PROCESS to MAKE the “NUCLEAR” Fuel Rod that is supposed to be “CLEAN”.
Nuclear Power Plants Construction “COST” = $5,500 per KW
This breaks down to 21 cents per Kwh for Electricity from a Nuke Plant!
That’s 4 TIMES the cost per Kwh of Natural Gas Turbine and Coal Plants, which have a retail rate of around 5 cents per Kwh.
There is a MUCH BETTER WAY, that will make our Country “INDEPENDENT” from “FOREIGN OIL”...
You can see this “PLAN” in a Film I made at www.KenHoward.ws that will create 5,900 Jobs per KW vs. the 200 Jobs per KW the Nuke creates.
The Film, “Invest in America” located at www.KenHoward.ws will show you how America can build “This New Plan”
1. In Ten Years TOTAL
2. Will Generate 50 TIMES MORE POWER than we currently use!
3. The “Excess” Electricity will be converted to Hydrogen
4. This Hydrogen will Fuel our Fleet of Vehicles
5. Make the U.S. a “Net Exporter” of Energy
6. Create 30 MILLION Jobs
7. Decrease our National Debt & Trade Deficit
8. Restore American confidence
9. Increase wages and profit margins
10.Create an Econmic “Boom”
There is an EASY...REAL...Answer.
Watch my Film for free at www.KenHoward.ws
Cheers!
Ken Howard
“If you THINK you can...or...you THINK you can’t...you are exactly right” Henry Ford